WA Voting Turnout Statistics

In WA state, voter turnout is at 52% [As 11/7/16].  A further breakdown shows Democrats are enjoying significant turnout advantage: Seattle turnout is at 58% whereas Yakima County turnout is 43%. Seattle is a traditional litmus test  for Democrat turnout, whereas Yakima County is a traditional litmus test for Republican turnout, especially in eastern Washington.

Low GOP turnout in eastern WA was a large factor in Rob McKenna’s 2012 loss. The above data is from the Secretary of State and County auditors. We can draw additional insights by join that with party identification scores [1].

Continue reading “WA Voting Turnout Statistics”

Late voter registration trends

Voter registration for Nov 8th, 2016 in WA  has closed and here’s a breakdown of some late registration trends.

The average age of a recently registered voters is 37, roughly 11 years younger than the average age of all voters. This trend is consistent across all 49 legislative districts.

Here’s a breakdown by legislative district, showing average ages of All voters, only voters registered 2016, and the difference between them.

Leg. District

All Voters

Registered in 2016

Difference

15

47.2

33.2

14.0

43

41.7

33.2

8.5

9

47.5

34.1

13.3

29

45.8

35.1

10.6

36

44.6

35.2

9.4

28

48.2

35.3

12.9

44

46.8

35.5

11.2

46

47.3

35.7

11.6

27

47.2

36.2

11.0

25

47.6

36.3

11.3

40

49.4

36.4

13.1

1

47.4

36.6

10.9

2

47.2

36.6

10.6

45

48.0

36.8

11.3

5

47.6

36.8

10.8

38

48.2

36.9

11.3

21

48.0

36.9

11.1

48

48.8

36.9

11.8

39

48.5

37.1

11.5

16

49.5

37.1

12.4

17

48.1

37.1

11.0

23

50.3

37.1

13.2

41

49.4

37.2

12.1

47

47.4

37.3

10.1

6

48.8

37.3

11.4

18

48.7

37.3

11.4

3

46.4

37.4

9.1

31

48.3

37.5

10.8

11

46.6

37.5

9.1

14

50.6

37.5

13.1

30

47.9

37.7

10.2

22

48.5

37.7

10.8

49

48.8

37.9

10.9

13

49.6

38.0

11.7

8

48.9

38.1

10.9

37

46.0

38.1

7.9

32

49.1

38.3

10.8

33

48.3

38.4

10.0

26

50.3

38.6

11.7

34

48.4

38.6

9.8

4

49.1

38.6

10.5

42

49.0

39.8

9.2

35

51.6

40.1

11.5

12

52.0

40.4

11.5

20

51.1

40.6

10.4

10

52.7

40.8

12.0

7

52.0

40.8

11.2

19

52.1

42.0

10.1

24

55.6

45.9

9.7

Districts average about a 1% increase from new registrations in ’16.

Here are the top 10 legislative districts by new-registration.

Leg. District

Number Voters

New Registrations

% growth

40

100,566

3,090

3.07%

43

118,302

2,516

2.13%

12

83,491

1,675

2.01%

22

108,232

2,066

1.91%

42

100,282

1,792

1.79%

13

78,080

1,389

1.78%

9

83,842

1,481

1.77%

8

89,393

1,567

1.75%

21

94,752

1,650

1.74%

3

86,858

1,511

1.74%

Here are some visualizations of the breakdown.

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